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Almond Review – September 2017

Almond Crop Review for September 2017 – California – USA

Shipments   : August shipments were 168.6 million lbs. vs. 170 million lbs. in 2016 – down 1%

Demand       : +14.4% (all-time record)

Exports        : -9%

Inshell Exports : were down 42% due to the later harvest and low in-shell stocks.

Kernel Exports : were actually up 11% despite the late start.

CURRENCY:  The USD is weakened slightly further, currently at 1.20 to the Euro.

2017 CROP

Receipts YTD as of August 31 were 215 million lbs. vs. 359 million YTD 2016.  Harvest started later and hulling/shelling advanced slower due to higher hull moisture, caused by humid weather.

Nonpareil harvest is complete and even Monterey are being shook in much of the state.

Fritz is the only variety left in our area and those should be shook in 7-10 days.

High temperatures and mites caused considerable stress on the trees, with many losing more leaves than normal.  There is less chip & scratch and more doubles.

We are seeing and hearing of fields with very high insect damage, which is reflected in the state-wide inedible of 2% vs. 1.4%.    Yield reports remain inconsistent, with some of the best yields vs. last season in the later blooming areas of the west and north.

Harvest 2017 09.jpg

OUTLOOK:

The industry’s loss & exempt was adjusted upward from the estimated 2% to actual 2.26% for the 2016 crop year.  Adjusted carry-in was 398.6 million lbs. which is a minor change but psychologically positive.

We may see a higher L&E this year due to the high insect damage.

The market was soft through second half August, and then firmed heading into today’s report.  Shipments were on the high end of expectations but no big surprise.

The revelation today was the commitments of  677.2  vs. 481.8, up 40.5%. California handlers made an effort to sell off any remaining ’16 crop and continue marketing the ’17 crop.

The shipped + commited figure of 846 million lbs. (vs. 651)  brings the industry to 32.5% sold on total estimated supply of 2.6 billion lbs.

This is a very comfortable sold position for the industry and bullish news.  The seasonal increase in buying activity seems to be getting underway.

**The Almond Board corrected today’s earlier reporting of 763.6 million lbs. of commitments to the correct 677.2.  We have updated the above figures with this correction.

Feel free to contact with any feedback, questions or inquiries you have.

California Almonds – August 2017

Almonds Status – August 2017

California almond handlers ended the 2016 season with record July shipments of 154.0 million lbs. This is up 11.1% from 138.6 million lbs shipped last July. They can now tally total 2016 season shipments at 2101 million lbs, 16.0% ahead of 2015 shipments.

A few observations on the July numbers; all major regions showed gains in July versus a year ago, domestic shipments up 13% showing continued strength, Indian shipments up 16% but likely not by enough to dampen enthusiasm in the local market, Chinese shipments up 37% signaling increasing appetite as traders get back to business. In summary a strong season for demand as prices for the 2016 season remained range bound and affordable to all markets. With channels relatively empty most anticipate momentum will continue into the 2017 season.

Since last month’s report, prices have increased by about 15 cents per lb. As anticipated, heavy buying emerged after the moderate Objective forecast of 2250 million lbs and then the June report showed stronger than expected shipments. Export buyers have also been helped by a weaker dollar and there has been little reason to hold back.

Harvest has begun as the south is just starting to see the first nonpareil deliveries at the huller. Not much to report yet. Their first inshell production is showing good size, but too early to comment on yields. The general grower consensus is that it will be a decent crop consistent with the Objective forecast.

Such report will likely keep prices firm. Shipments and new commitments are robust. Over the next few weeks California will start to get a picture of nonpareil yields and a picture of 2017 crop will start to coalesce. All know, however, that a reliable number will not really known until December or so. Meanwhile the market will feed on shipment reports, which will likely be strong for at least the next few months.

 

Chilean Walnuts can now penetrate Indian Markets

With a new protocol, Chilean walnut exporters are now better placed to capitalize on the South Asian economy with its  1.2 billion people. 

While Chile has had access to the Indian walnut market since 2014, traders have not made the most of the opportunity given demands for methyl bromide treatment – a procedure that is not required by other countries.

But last week the tides changed, with Indian authorities publishing a protocol that allowed for phospine treatment instead of methyl bromide.

“This allows us to start exporting to that country with the same structure Chile has with other countries,” said Chilean Walnut Commission executive president Andrés Rodríguez.

“This is what we take as a true access authorization for India, because only a little bit could be sent when you had to fumigate with methyl bromide.”

He added while India has a significant amount of domestic consumption of walnuts, the market was only recently opening up for imports.

“India doesn’t have a volume as high as China, but it is growing year over year and because of its characteristics it’ll become a significant volume in the medium term.”

When asked about the advantages of phosphine treatment, he said the product was common in Chile and already used for other markets. In contrast, methyl bromide treatment would imply specific production for India which complicates logistics.

“Bromide requires very different fumigation chambers than for phosphine. Also, bromide is very questionable for different destination markets,” he said, adding phosphine was totally effective in fighting the pests that threaten walnuts.

Chilenut president Juan Luis Vial said this gave Chile an advantage over the U.S. which still requires the use of methyl bromide in India.

Braincloud Helps Chilean Exporters to Market their produce to Indian Subcontinent.

Braincloud India

104, 1st Floor Amore Building

4th Rd, Ram Krishna Nagar (Near Khar Station)

Khar West – Mumbai (India) 

Mail:  info@braincloud.in for more information. 

 

New Delhi, Jul 31

Prices of almond were higher by Rs 100 per 40 kg at the dry fruits market in the national capital today on mild demand from retailers.

However, other dry fruits moved in a narrow range in limited deals and pegged at last levels.

Marketmen said some demand from retailers mainly led to rise in almond and its kernel prices.

Almond (California) rose by Rs 100 to Rs 18,000-18,200 per 40 kg. It’s kernel also traded higher by Rs 2 to Rs 662-672 per kg

Almond Prospective for Month of February 2017

almond-inshell


The Almond Crop of  harvest year 2016 is getting consumed at faster rate.

Ending inventory declining from last year and expected to be  412 million lbs.

Prices continue trading in relatively tight ranges, with less change in the past few weeks.

More than  65% of the crop shipped and committed.

Forecast 

Strong demand, and a mixed weather forecast for the bloom,

Prices will not likely move significantly until there is a better view of the 2017 supply.

Tightness in Nonpareil supply.

 Expected larger price gap till  2016 crop year is over.

Crop Conditions and Bloom Status

Variety Dormant Green Tip Pink Bud Popcorn Bloom Petal Fall Jacket Out Of Jacket
Sonora % % % % 6% 52% 42% %
Nonpareil % % % % 20% 58% 22% %
California % % % % 18% 58% 24% %
Carmel % % % % 31% 51% 18% %
Peerless % % % % 5% 40% 55% %
Monterey % % % % 28% 53% 19% %
Butte % % % 2% 68% 26% 4% %
Padre % % % 8% 68% 22% 2% %
Serious Suppliers of Almonds from California please contact.  MAIL NOW 

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10 REASONS TO DO BUSINESS IN INDIA

10-reasons-to-do-business-in-india

The India-US Business Roundtable –  Thursday, October 27, 2016 in New York. 

This exclusive event will bring together Chairmen, CEOs, investors and entrepreneurs from India and the United States to meet and discuss unique business and investment opportunities in India.

The event will focus on key sectors including

Food and Agriculture,  AutomotiveChemicalsElectronicsEngineeringHealthcare,Information TechnologyInfrastructureMetals and Real Estate.

If you are interested in meeting with US companies looking to explore partnerships, joint ventures, technology licensing agreements and other business opportunities with Indian companies, we invite you to join us!  You will receive profiles of all participating companies prior to the event.

Apart from meeting the top US companies the Invited companies will also have the opportunity to attend following.

– A VIP networking reception with high-level business leaders and diplomats.

– Investment luncheon with top investors investors and venture capitalists  

If you are interested in participating, please contact me via email or telephone to discuss in more detail.  I can help you arrange your travels to the United States and assist with setting up additional business meetings, company visits and tours during your time in New York.  All travel costs are the responsibility of the attendee.

Please see the attached flyer.  We look forward to welcoming you in New York!

Contact :
Manish Behl
Mobile: +91 9819029220
Email: manish@braincloud.in
Or info@ibsglobalconsulting.com
 

IBS Global Consulting Expands Operations into India

 IBS Global Consulting, a leading global management consulting firm headquartered in Troy, Michigan USA, is proud to announce the establishment of an affiliate office in Mumbai through its strategic partnership with India Law Offices, a top corporate law firm in India.

The strategic partnership between IBS Global Consulting and India Law Offices will enable companies that are looking to do business between the US and India to exploit the best of both companies’ core strengths in market entry strategy and international business development.

As the second fastest growing market in Asia, India has become an attractive market for many US companies. The India affiliate office of IBS Global Consulting will focus on providing local support to Indian companies looking to explore international business opportunities and partnerships in the United States, and serve as an on-the-ground resource for US companies seeking to enter this exciting and diverse market. Mr. Manish Behl, Lead Advisor at IBS Global Consulting, will serve as the lead representative and liaison for the company in India.

“We are very excited about our collaboration with India Law Offices,” says Manish Behl, Senior Advisor at IBS Global Consulting. “Our combined resources and capabilities will be beneficial for companies in both countries,” Behl added.

“We are pleased to partner with India Law Offices to extend our consulting services across India and Southern Asia,” says Tonya McNeal-Weary, Managing Director at IBS Global Consulting. “The Indian market is thriving and continues to evolve, and this new alliance with India Law Offices will allow us to better serve the needs of our growing international client base,” McNeal-Weary added.

“We at India Law Offices are excited to team up with IBS Global Consulting,” says Gautam Khurana, Founder and Managing Partner at India Law Offices. “The Indian economy is growing at a tremendous pace and we see IBS Global Consulting, with its entrepreneurial spirit and creative vision, as a great partner to bring in tremendous opportunities for the Indian market,” Khurana added.

IBS Global Consulting will join forces with its Mumbai office, which will allow for the integration of their respective services, as well as collaborative marketing activities and events.

About IBS Global Consulting
IBS Global Consulting is a global management consulting firm that specialise in helping small and medium-sized companies expand internationally. With offices in the United States, Canada, and United Kingdom, and strategic partners in over 30 countries across the globe, IBS Global Consulting offers foreign market entry, business development and marketing consulting services to clients worldwide.

About India Office
India Offices is one of the leading full service corporate law firms in India providing quality legal and professional services to clients and businesses around the world. India Law Offices specialise in inbound and outbound investments, incorporation and setting up of businesses in India, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures, franchising and licensing, and venture funding.

Contact Manish Behl 

Call : +91 9819029220  or mail  mbehl@ibsglobalconsulting.com 
To learn more about IBS Global Consulting, visit http://www.ibsglobalconsulting.com. 

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World Tea & Coffee Expo – 20th Oct – 22nd Oct 2016 – Mumbai

4th Wtce Header 1Braincloud India and IBS Global Consulting support “4th World Tea & Coffee Expo™ 2016”

The World Tea & Coffee Expo was launched in 2013 to offer an organised avenue for all the industry stakeholders to come together under a single roof for networking, business expansion and ideas exchange. Cutting through a plethora of food and food processing shows and focusing purely on the tea and coffee segments, the Expo has established itself as the official Industry show with just three editions under its belt.

“Manish Behl founder of Braincloud and Lead consultant of IBS Global Consultants says that “4th World Tea & Coffee Expo™ 2016″ offers a great opportunity to Indian and International food and beverages companies to showcase their product and services to growing Indian Market”

Show Highlights: More Country pavilions & Buying delegations from Dubai / Iran / Russia, Nepal and many more planned. This expo is the catalyst for companies to expand presence in India .Launch of latest technology and innovative products/retail chains, Bulk Orders, Appointing of Distributors or Exporters at Expo ensures substantial interest from potential business associates with display of International and Indian innovations, the Expo will determine trends related to the entire spectrum of the Hot Beverage sector

Additional Activities: B2B match-making, Workshops & Championships, a High Level 2-day Conference by Industry leaders, academicians and policy makers, export/import guidance kiosks, Knowledge zone etc.

Show Dates: 20th Oct – 22nd Oct 2016 (Thu – Sat)

Expo Location: Bombay Exhibition Centre (NSE), Goregaon East, Mumbai, INDIA

Exhibition Hours:       Thursday, 20th Oct 2016 – 10:00 am – 6:00 pm

Friday, 21st Oct 2016 – 10:00 am – 6:00 pm

Saturday, 22nd Oct 2016 – 10:00 am – 5 pm

Seminar / Conference Hours: Thursday, 20th Oct 2016 – 12:00 pm to 2:00 pm & 2:30 pm – 5:00 pm

Friday, 21st Oct 2016 – 11:00 am to 1 pm and 2:00 pm – 5:00 pm

Workshop/Demo Area Hours: Saturday 22nd Oct 2016 – 11:00 am to 2.00 pm & 2:30 pm – 5.00 pm

Previous Show Results: 2015 total attendance included 52 exhibiting companies from 7 countries and over 3200 Trade Visitors. Supporters: Tea Board of India, Federation of Indian Tea Traders Association (FAITTA), Bombay Tea Traders Association (BTTA), SME Chamber of India, Confederation of Indian Small Tea Growers Association (CISTA), Dubai Multi Commodities Centre (DMCC) Iran Tea Traders Association and Rwanda Development Board.

Exhibitor Profile Attendees/Visitors
Tea & Coffee Manufacturers & Brands, Machinery MFRs & Packaging companies, Tea & Coffee Dealers/Exporters/Importers, Tea / Coffee Vending Machines Manufacturers, Roasters And Blenders, Flavored Beverages Manufacturers, Manufacturers of Equipment & Appliances, Raw Materials Suppliers & Manufacturers, Retail Café Chains / Franchisors, Processors & Processing machinery MFRs, Milk & Milk Products, Sugar & Sugar substitutes/Artificial Sweeteners, Tea & Coffee Accessories manufacturers, Service Providers & Others Tea & Coffee Distributors/ Retailers/Wholesalers, Hoteliers/ Institutional Caterers, Restaurateurs & Café Owners, Airlines, Importers & Exporters, International Delegates & Buying Teams, Trade Buyers, Hotel Supplies Dealers, Mass Grocers/Supermarkets/Malls, Purchase Managers of Large Offices & Retail Chains, Packaging professionals, F & B/Catering Managers, Dieticians / Nutritionists / Food Professionals, Chefs & Cooking Experts, Tea & Coffee Aficionados and General Visitors.

Branding/ Promotions Strategy: WTCE has developed an aggressive GLOBAL marketing campaign designed to attract the largest number of buyers. Attendees include decision makers and influencers.

Estimated Industry Participation: 5,000 (80% from India and balance from overseas)

  • Clientele : Aspen Projects India Ltd, Ahinsha Chemicals Ltd, Bry-Air (Asia) Pvt. Ltd, Emmppe Associates, Tea Board of India, Lochan Tea Limited, Variety Food Products, Distribution Co. Pvt. Ltd, Golden Tips Teas, National Innovation Foundation, Shrinath Rotopack Pvt. Ltd, Clearpack India Pvt. Ltd, Manjushree Plantations Limited, Sunshine Tea, Tamilnadu Tea Plantation Corporation, Saraf Trading Corporation Pvt. Ltd, Tee Pack Speziolmoschinen Gmblt Co. Kg, M/S. Hira Lal Ashok Kumar, Bombay Tea Trade Association, Swiss Pac Pvt. Ltd, Indiamart.Com, Trade India.Com, Tetrahedron Beverages Pvt. Ltd, Darjeeling Tea Association, M. Kantilal & Co, Four Square Media Pvt. Ltd, Trade4india.Com, L. B Associtates Pvt. Ltd, Max Worth Trading Co, Iron Buddha, Prabhat Dairy Pvt. Ltd, Kanak Security Solutions, Dph Inter National Gmbh, Grainpro Usa Hires, Kebun Rimau Sdn Bhd, Lavazza, Ace Industries, Aeropress India, Amar Tea Pvt Ltd (Society Tea), Aum Agri Freeze Foods P Ltd, Coffee (Hindustan Unilever Ltd), Control Union Certification P Ltd, Dcpl Life Science Pvt Ltd, Dubai Multi Commodities Centre, Evergreen Dooars Tea Pvt Ltd, Eversys Of Switzerland, Federation Of All India Tea Traders Associations(Faitta), Federation Of India Export Organizations(Fieo), Flavourtech Pty Ltd, Australia, Girnar Food & Beverages Pvt Ltd, Lipra Nutriscience, Madhu Jayanti International Ltd, Mohani Tea Leaves Pvt Ltd. Neel Beverages Pvt Ltd, Rwanda Development Board, Shreeji Screen & Filters Pvt Ltd, Sussegado Coffee India Pvt Ltd, T.M.E Srl, Italy, Teamac S.R.L, Italy, Tirupati Products, Umang Special School, Koya Traders & Manufactures Lld., Sira Impex Pvt. Ltd, Gourmet Treats, Neel Beverages Pvt. Ltd, Brite Automation, Sterling Agro Industries Ltd, The Coffee Company, Ace Industries, Golden Tips Tea Company Pvt Ltd, Varietea Food Products Ltd, Makaibari Tea & Trading Co. Pvt. Ltd, Simla Tea Company Pvt Ltd, Organic Small Tea Growers Association, Assam, Avkash International, Rangpur Tea Association Ltd, Umang Special School,Ccl Products India Ltd, Café Coffee Day, Vidya Herbs Pvt Ltd, Shree Vardhman Jivdaya Kendra, Leo Retail Concepts, M Kantilal & Co, Atharva Agro Organics, Nilkamal Ltd, Deesha Tea Endeavours P Ltd,Coffee Board Of India, Jim Trade, Prajakta Technology Pvt. Ltd. – Udyogprerana, Cista, Global Fairs And Media Pvt. Ltd.,Lolita Coffee Colombia, Instantina Ltd Uk, Hva Foods Plc Srilanka, Tea Talk Pvt Ltd Srilanka, Reviva Tea Pvt Ltd Srilanka, Srilanka, Buhler India Pvt. Ltd. Germany, Trade Agency – Vietnam Embassy In India Vietnam, Techknow Enterprise Inc Usa.

Contact: Mr. Manish Behl  +91 9819029220

Email : manish@braincloud.in or mbehl@ibsglobalconsultant.com

ONION – WHY INDIA FACE SHORTAGE

OnionONION TEARS 

It is so wacky that how 1.25 Billion people can’t control the mighty power of insignificant product like ONION? The Small red bulb has power to bring down the government to its knees, be it BJP or Congress, it does not differentiate. We have seen governments crashing in year 1980, 1998 and 2010 mainly due to onion shortage. 

Year 2015 onion prices rocketed to the level of Rs.100 per kg which  never ever seen before.

It is very easy to blame the infamous channels because world believes it easily.  Same is the story of Shortage of onions in India.  It is easy to blame it on bad weather and nefarious network of small onion Traders. But the real masterminds of this game enjoy this shortage havoc from their well-guarded positions. 

REACTION OF GOVERNMENT 

src.adapt.960.high.india_onion_prices-090613.1378517911925

The knee jerk reaction of government is to ban the exports and raid onion traders. Which simply leads to unreliability of Indian exports in international markets and dissuading of small onion traders to exit the onion trade.

Government tries to controls the prices through various measures by setting Minimum Export Price’ (MEP) and including onions in the ‘Essential Commodities Act’ while reducing stock holding limits. But all such measures fail to pay any results when it come to the real shortage. 

REASON FOR SHORTAGE 

IMG_0018The Demand and supply situation do cause the volatility but we cannot put entire blame on onion trader. There is constant increase in demand for onion in the country which means the production has to increase in line with the demand.

When the onion season begins the prices for onion dips to the level of Rs.2 to Rs.7 per kg in the local mandi’s and these prices are way lower than the cost of growing onions. One of the farmer commented “When we don’t get the fair price for our crops than why should we grow them in first place”.

In order to control situation Government do take stop gap measures of  abolishing Exports and Raid onion traders. But  these sudden measures taken by the Government has major issues . In both the cases it discourages farmers to grow Onion because there is no mechanism to check the price fall when there is over production. It also discourages small onion traders to trade in Onion.  This also effect the Exports of Onion from the country .

Both the conditions are not favourable of consumers as it leads to price instability.

Maharashtra being the  biggest producer of Onions in India and Lasalgaon – Nashik District  is the largest hub of onions in Asia which contributes 80% of the total onion export of the country.

ONION SUPPLY CHAIN

REASON FOR GROWING DEMAND 

Growing population, fuelled with increase in per capita income is pushing the nation wide demand for good quality onions. Onion is King of all the vegetable, which can’t we replaced with any other vegetable, which leads to completely tenacious demand for onions. 

Per capita consumption of onions across all of India has been increasing due to many reasons including lifestyle changes. In l 10 years consumption of onions boosted to 40% in rural India and 20% in urban India. But the production has not increase in India to that degree. 

“The question lies who is getting benefit from this price volatility?”

SIGNIFICANCE OF ONION FOR INDIA 

As per world ranking Onion stand as the third most important vegetable. China is number and India stands second in the global production with 18 million tonnes annually 20% of global production.

Onion Export from IndiaIndia exported about 12.5 lack metric tonnes of onion in year 2014-15 which is on an approx. value of Rs.2300 crores. Last year it was about Rs.3177.00 crores 

onion world

DOMESTIC SCENARIO 

No preparation is complete without onion in India. Be it rich or poor every household consumes onion so one can imagine the significance it carries.

bhindi_do_pyaaza

onion-pakoda

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PRODUCTION SHARE IN INDIA 

The four major states which produces the onion Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Karnataka and Gujarat.

Maharashtra tops to in the production and controls the balance of onion supply in the country. 

Sowing and harvesting of onion is done twice a year. Once in  Kharif which harvested between September to Jan and Rabi which is harvest between March and June. 

prices fluctationThe Rabi crop comprises approximately 60% of the total production which is available till October November and also for exports.   Prices are hiked mainly when the Rabi crops fails . 

Due to this harvesting pattern we have seen the prices fluctuating to dangerously low or unrealistic high.  

In 2015 alone prices swayed in retail market from Rs.10 to Rs.100 per Kg, this kind of fluctuation is not seen in any other commodity.

onion

PROBLEM THE FARMERS FACE

FARMER IN INDIA

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Even after being a significant player in the world the per hectare yield in India is lowest in the world.

Farmer in onion cultivation face various challenges which are very unique to India alone.

So the problem looks like this

  • Poor Productivity
  • High prices for good quality seeds
  • Abnormal occurrence of pest and diseases
  • High cost of quality fertilizers and pesticides
  • Irrigation and cultivation problems
  • Poor post harvest management
  • High moisture stress.
  • Short rains or disproportionate rains
  • High cost of Transportation
  • High volatility in prices making it a precarious crop
  • Prices and Supplies controlled through AMPC markets 
  • High charges by AMPC commission agents and  traders
  • Prices controlled by the Mafia and Cartels 

Due to such a problem farmers get discourage from intensive production and Good Farming practices, which leads to lower productivity and unrest among the farmer and traders.

TEARS OF JOY 

golden Harvest

Encouraged with last years results farmers have diverted the cropping of other cash crops towards the onion cultivation hoping to cash healthy returns from onion.

According to NHRDF the total cultivation under onion has gone up to extent of 15% to 20% in the current summer – 2016 crop season. Seeing at current harvesting scenario it is being predicted that onion production will cross the mark of 20 million tonnes this year.  

So lets hope both farmers and common man will enjoy this year.

Author  MANISH BEHL  welcome your comments 

write to info@braincloud.in  or call +91 9819029220 

Red Onion and Fresh Vegetables for Exports

Best Quality Mechanically Sorted And Graded Red Onion from India 

Size:  70 to 25 mm and Shallots. Type: Red Onion and Round

Packing :  50kg , 25kg, 10kg, 5kg and small bags both in Jute and PP bags

 
We have Pre-cooling and Processing plant for Bananas, Pomegranate,  Okra, Bitter Bottle Gourd and other Vegetables. 
Contact manish@braincloud.in or mbehl1@gmail.com +91 9819029220

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